Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#139
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#125
Pace68.4#149
Improvement-5.1#325

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#133
Improvement-4.9#338

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#171
Improvement-0.3#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2012 195   Auburn W 79-59 62%     1 - 0 +18.5 +4.7 +13.4
  Nov 16, 2012 97   St. John's W 72-67 38%     2 - 0 +9.8 +5.4 +4.3
  Nov 18, 2012 45   Colorado L 74-81 21%     2 - 1 +3.1 +4.4 -1.0
  Nov 24, 2012 276   Old Dominion W 79-72 86%     3 - 1 -3.1 +1.3 -4.4
  Nov 26, 2012 304   @ Lipscomb W 88-79 77%     4 - 1 +2.9 +4.8 -2.5
  Dec 08, 2012 79   @ Evansville W 82-70 23%     5 - 1 +21.3 +12.2 +8.7
  Dec 16, 2012 183   Western Kentucky W 75-70 71%     6 - 1 +0.8 +4.0 -2.8
  Dec 19, 2012 150   @ Arkansas St. W 61-54 41%     7 - 1 +11.0 -4.1 +15.4
  Dec 22, 2012 67   @ Dayton L 68-77 20%     7 - 2 +1.7 -2.1 +3.8
  Dec 29, 2012 66   Valparaiso L 64-66 40%     7 - 3 +2.3 -6.8 +8.9
  Jan 03, 2013 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 73-62 88%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +0.1 -8.0 +7.8
  Jan 05, 2013 225   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-66 58%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +7.6 -0.1 +7.9
  Jan 09, 2013 122   Eastern Kentucky L 65-77 57%     9 - 4 2 - 1 -12.3 -9.2 -3.6
  Jan 12, 2013 314   @ Austin Peay W 71-68 79%     10 - 4 3 - 1 -3.7 -11.2 +7.3
  Jan 17, 2013 271   Eastern Illinois W 70-49 86%     11 - 4 4 - 1 +11.2 +8.3 +8.4
  Jan 19, 2013 306   SIU Edwardsville W 70-61 90%     12 - 4 5 - 1 -3.7 -5.8 +2.3
  Jan 24, 2013 278   @ Tennessee Tech W 47-39 70%     13 - 4 6 - 1 +4.3 -27.2 +31.5
  Jan 26, 2013 213   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-65 54%     13 - 5 6 - 2 -0.4 -1.6 +1.1
  Feb 02, 2013 314   Austin Peay W 75-68 OT 91%     14 - 5 7 - 2 -6.2 -8.3 +2.0
  Feb 07, 2013 50   Belmont W 79-74 31%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +11.6 +16.2 -4.0
  Feb 09, 2013 166   Tennessee St. W 69-48 68%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +17.8 -1.4 +21.0
  Feb 14, 2013 306   @ SIU Edwardsville L 60-65 77%     16 - 6 9 - 3 -11.2 -14.9 +3.8
  Feb 16, 2013 271   @ Eastern Illinois L 70-79 68%     16 - 7 9 - 4 -12.3 +1.6 -15.0
  Feb 20, 2013 230   @ Morehead St. W 106-100 2OT 59%     17 - 7 10 - 4 +5.3 +2.4 +1.1
  Feb 23, 2013 107   South Dakota St. W 73-62 53%     18 - 7 +12.0 +4.5 +8.8
  Feb 28, 2013 334   Tennessee Martin L 68-69 95%     18 - 8 10 - 5 -18.4 -14.4 -4.0
  Mar 02, 2013 225   Southeast Missouri St. L 68-84 79%     18 - 9 10 - 6 -22.9 -10.9 -12.0
  Mar 08, 2013 122   Eastern Kentucky W 81-73 45%     19 - 9 +11.0 +15.8 -3.8
  Mar 09, 2013 50   Belmont L 68-70 OT 22%     19 - 10 +7.9 -4.0 +11.9
Projected Record 19.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%